Probability of Vendor Data Breach

Overall Observations

  • Third-party program is better than Industry average for large data breaches over 1M+, biggest risk is the number of vendor
  • Validate the type and volume of customer data for all vendors to ensure model accuracy
  • No risk appetite statement and framework to articulate the acceptable frequency of third-party data breach for large & small breaches

  • For the 59 vendors with no CISSP, how are there day to day cyber activities being performed?

  • For the 68 vendors with no CISA, how are there cyber audit activities being performed?

Large Breach 1M+ 3% probability

  • Probability is 3% or every 34 years across your 69 vendors
  • Is a 3% chance of data breach across 69 vendors within your risk appetite?
  • 5 Tail vendors take up 40% of your risk budget (Company 3, 5, 10, 12, 16).
  • Tail-vendors, limit your ability to leverage the value from more third-parties. Specifically, your competitiveness and growth

Small Breach 1K+ 9% probability

  • Probability is 9% or every 11 years across your 150 vendors
  • Is a 9% chance of a data breach across 150 vendors within your risk appetite?
  • 17 Tail vendors take up 47% your risk budget (Company 1-17).
  • Tail-vendors, limit your ability to leverage the value from more third-parties. Specifically, your competitiveness and growth.

Next Steps

  • Verify: Your data details (ie record count, encryption, data type); Vendor data details (ie CISA / CISSP and MCPE, managed contracts)

  • Determine: Cumulative Risk appetite for 3rd Party Data Breach (large, small); Accountability model (ie ARCI) and Leadership & Governance

  • Develop: Organizational Change management approach;  Frameworks/ procedures / metrics to support the risk appetite

  • Implement: Rollout updated & new procedures / framework / metrics;

  • Manage: on-boarding & off-boarding; tail vendors; minimal certifications; vendor portfolio

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